Dollar in distress: US inflation miss shakes markets

The past fortnight has been eventful with high volatility observed in both Emerging Markets (EM) and major currencies. The significant development was a sharp decline in the US Dollar (USD). Indeed, the USD Index reported one of the largest weekly sell-offs since the Global Financial Crisis.

Investors reacted to a less-than-expected set of US inflation figures. The headline inflation dropped to 3% in March 2021, while the core inflation decreased to below 5% in November 2021.

The sell-off in the USD can be attributed to increased market expectations that the Federal Reserve might halt interest rate hikes by this summer. The expectation currently stands at a 25 basis point hike in July, with the date projected for 26/07. However, indications suggest this could be the last hike in the current cycle, with futures showing a 1-in-4 chance by November.

We’d like to hear from you! Provide us with feedback so we can improve the podcast: https://linktr.ee/fxtalk  

Liked this show? Please leave us a review here – even one sentence helps! 

We’d like to hear from you! Provide us with feedback so we can improve the podcast: https://linktr.ee/fxtalk

Liked this show? Please leave us a review here – even one sentence helps!